Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URA
3 - 0
BEI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
BEI
2 - 1
TIA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BEI
3 - 0
SHE
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
BEI
0 - 1
JEO
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
QIN
2 - 3
CHA
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
SHI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HUB
3 - 4
CHA
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
SJF
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |