Beijing Guoan vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
2 - 2
GUI
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
URA
1 - 1
BEI
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 1
BEI
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 3
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
SUW
3 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
6 - 1
CCM
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |