Beijing BSU vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing BSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
KUN
2 - 2
BEI
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SJF
1 - 1
BEI
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 1
BEI
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 1
HUB
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
JIA
2 - 4
CBC
19%
30%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
JIA
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUI
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 3
JIA
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
JIA
2 - 2
NMZ
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |