Beerschot VA vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
16º
16º
36
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 72.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BEE
3 - 1
LIE
47%
24%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 0
BEE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 1
AND
19%
24%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 2
BEE
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
5 - 0
BEE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
7 - 0
ROC
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
GNK
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
MFK
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
GEN
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
GEN
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |