Beerschot VA vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
16º
16º
11
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 51 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 32 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
2.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 0
BEE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
3 - 4
GNK
17%
22%
62%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CER
4 - 1
BEE
60%
21%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
BEE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
LEU
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
BRU
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
KVK
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |