Bedworth United vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedworth United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BED
1 - 1
PAU
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
RED
8 - 1
BED
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BED
0 - 1
CIR
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
BED
1 - 2
HIT
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
BED
1 - 1
KET
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WEY
3 - 2
KET
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
WEY
1 - 0
CAM
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HIS
1 - 4
WEY
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WEY
0 - 2
HIT
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
WEY
22%
23%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |