Besancon RC vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
PFC
1 - 0
BRC
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
BRC
1 - 0
IST
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
BRC
2 - 1
LEN
7%
19%
74%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
RED
0 - 1
BRC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
BRC
1 - 0
RAO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GIR
3 - 0
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
STR
4 - 2
LYO
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
MON
2 - 3
STR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
PSG
4 - 2
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
STR
5%
18%
77%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |