Besancon RC vs Sochaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
2º
24
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
52.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
BRC
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
THA
3 - 4
BRC
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 0
JUR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
BRC
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Sochaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 1
SOC
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SOC
3 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 4
SOC
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
SAR
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |