Besancon RC vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
PSG
1 - 6
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 1
MPL
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NAN
0 - 0
PSG
37%
25%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
LYO
2 - 1
PSG
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |