Besancon RC vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
16º
6º
34
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOB
3 - 2
BRC
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 0
BEL
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
BRC
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 2
FCS
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
BRC
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
OLY
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESW
1 - 3
SML
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
3 - 0
SML
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SML
1 - 4
STG
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |