Besancon RC vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 1
BRC
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
BRC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BRC
0 - 2
AMI
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SED
2 - 0
BRC
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BRC
1 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SED
0 - 0
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CAE
4 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAE
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |