Besancon RC vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
1º
18
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 46 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 39 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 29 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
61% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
BRC
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 4
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAO
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 5
SOC
7%
16%
77%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |