Besancon RC vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
3º
3
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
BRC
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 4
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAO
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 5
SOC
7%
16%
77%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |