Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Beasain KE vs Lorca FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
BEA
4 - 0
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LON
0 - 1
BEA
21%
26%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 2
BEA
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BEA
1 - 0
BFC
63%
21%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CLU
3 - 1
BEA
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Lorca FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 1
EGP
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 3
LFC
17%
22%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 0
CFC
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHU
0 - 0
LFC
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 1
LOR
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |