Beasain KE vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
17º
5º
19
2º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
4 - 1
URD
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
BEA
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
DAC
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 4
BEA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 0
SNT
68%
18%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
3 - 2
CDU
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDU
3 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDU
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 1
LEI
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ATX
1 - 2
CDU
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |