Beaconsfield vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEA
35%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 2
GOS
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 0
WHI
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +5 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 1
WIN
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 2
TIV
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 5
AVE
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 1
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LEW
3 - 2
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 0
FOL
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |