BDF vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 6
BDF
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
BDF
3 - 0
REN
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
EMP
1 - 2
BDF
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 7
BDF
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
3 - 4
BDF
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
EMP
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
WEY
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 3
UWI
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 2
REN
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |