BDF vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 1
BDF
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 6
BDF
50%
20%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
REN
0 - 2
BDF
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 8
BDF
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
BDF
1 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
6 - 0
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
PRI
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
WEY
3 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
NOT
51%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 8
PAR
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |