BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
16º
16º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
2 - 2
BGP
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 4
SCF
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 0
BGP
12%
16%
71%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 2
HUR
36%
22%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GET
2 - 1
BGP
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
SIE
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
BER
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |