BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs Hilal Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HEW
4 - 1
BGP
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
KBC
7 - 3
BGP
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BGP
5 - 1
SGE
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EIL
1 - 0
BGP
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 1
HBE
18%
20%
63%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HBE
1 - 3
IHN
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 0
HBE
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GET
0 - 3
HBE
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 1
HBE
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |