BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
KBC
7 - 3
BGP
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BGP
5 - 1
SGE
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EIL
1 - 0
BGP
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 1
BGP
53%
20%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 4
VFL
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 3
NIE
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SVB
3 - 2
DUR
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 1
SCB
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GET
2 - 1
DUR
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DUR
9 - 1
ALE
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |