BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
54%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
16º
16º
33
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FVE
3 - 1
BGP
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
BGP
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 4
SPF
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
BGP
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 4
USC
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
BFR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 0
BER
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +5 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 2
BFR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
VFL
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |