BCH Lions vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
10º
68
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCH Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DER
7 - 1
BCH
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 4
DER
16%
19%
64%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 1
BCH
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 2
KHC
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 9
TBF
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ULA
4 - 1
ERC
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ERC
1 - 1
ULA
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 2
ULA
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ULA
1 - 0
ERC
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 1
ULA
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |