Baztan vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
0 - 0
PAM
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CDB
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CDB
2 - 3
SJU
22%
24%
55%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 0
CDB
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDB
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SUB
2 - 3
CHA
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PAM
1 - 0
SUB
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SUB
2 - 2
PEÑ
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SJU
3 - 1
SUB
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
LOU
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |