Baztan vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
CDB
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
GAR
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 0
CDB
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 2
CDC
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
CAV
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDO
23%
24%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 1
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
AZK
41%
25%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
MUR
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |