Baztan vs Gares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDB
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CDB
1 - 1
CAN
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SJU
2 - 2
CDB
61%
22%
17%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 5
CDI
34%
22%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
CDB
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 3
PAM
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 2
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
GAR
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SUB
6 - 1
GAR
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
SJU
25%
27%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |