Baza vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MER
0 - 3
BAZ
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 1
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 0
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
31%
29%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
RJA
3 - 1
MEL
54%
27%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
VVA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 0
MEL
51%
27%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |