Baza vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
3 - 2
EXT
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CDZ
1 - 1
BAZ
35%
29%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
6 - 0
UBC
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
BAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 1
CDL
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VCF
2 - 1
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MLL
1 - 4
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 2
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |