Baza vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 2
BAZ
51%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BAZ
1 - 2
CÉL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
2 - 0
BAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BAZ
0 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RON
3 - 2
BAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ALH
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 3
LOJ
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ARE
43%
28%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CDV
1 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 2
NIJ
27%
28%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |