Segunda B Playouts Final
Global 3-0
Baza vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAZ
43%
29%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
BAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 1
AMU
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAZ
53%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MER
43%
28%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAZ
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
HUE
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
HUE
0 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAS
72%
20%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
MST
39%
30%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |