Baza vs Carboneras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
BAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAZ
0 - 0
CDV
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
BAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 3
BAZ
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carboneras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALH
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SIS
2 - 4
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 0
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |