Baza vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
POR
3 - 1
BAZ
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAZ
55%
26%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 2
RJA
46%
28%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 3
BAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAZ
0 - 1
ECI
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MER
0 - 0
CAR
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MER
3 - 2
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ECI
2 - 1
MER
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MER
1 - 0
MAL
23%
28%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |