Baza vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 2
BAZ
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BAZ
3 - 1
CDL
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SEV
3 - 1
BAZ
52%
27%
22%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 2
CCF
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 2
BAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ECI
0 - 0
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |