Baza vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
BAZ
2 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAZ
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
BAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 1
AMU
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAZ
53%
26%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
AGD
4 - 0
CDZ
62%
23%
14%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
TAL
2 - 2
AGD
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
UBC
0 - 4
AGD
43%
29%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALG
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 0
AGD
35%
31%
35%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |