Bayswater City vs Perth Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
6º
46
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayswater City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FRC
2 - 0
BAY
18%
18%
64%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STI
0 - 2
BAY
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAY
5 - 1
OLY
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 2
BAY
56%
19%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 3
PER
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PRS
1 - 1
OLY
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 1
PRS
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PRS
2 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRS
0 - 2
FLO
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PRS
0 - 2
STI
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |