Bayswater City vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
82.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayswater City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
FLO
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 6
BAY
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 4
COC
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SUB
0 - 5
BAY
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 0
STI
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 5
MEL
5%
11%
85%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HUM
1 - 4
MEL
5%
13%
83%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
JEO
0 - 0
MEL
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |