Bayreuth SpVgg vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
ING
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 0
ANS
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RAI
1 - 0
BAY
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 0
BAY
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
4 - 0
ANS
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TSV
3 - 2
WUR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MEM
2 - 1
WUR
43%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
FRO
4 - 2
WUR
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |