Bayreuth SpVgg vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
SGF
0 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
BAY
5 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
BAY
3 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 2
BAY
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 0
WUR
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
WUR
3 - 4
SVS
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
PIR
2 - 2
WUR
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
WUR
1 - 1
FSV
31%
26%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1977 |
OFC
5 - 0
WUR
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |