Bayreuth SpVgg vs Wolfratshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ANS
1 - 1
BAY
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
SCS
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 2
BAY
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wolfratshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 1
SCS
15%
22%
63%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
0 - 3
GRO
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 2
FUR
14%
22%
65%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |