Bayreuth SpVgg vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 0
BAY
38%
25%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
1 - 0
UNT
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 3
BAY
43%
25%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MEM
1 - 2
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
SCS
2 - 2
WEI
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
WEI
0 - 1
GRO
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 0
WEI
69%
18%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WEI
1 - 1
UNT
24%
27%
49%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BAD
3 - 1
WEI
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |