Bayreuth SpVgg vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MEM
0 - 3
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 3
ISM
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NUR
3 - 1
BAY
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
3 - 1
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 0
WUR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
WEI
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
NEU
0 - 5
WEI
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 1
WEI
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
WEI
4 - 0
TSV
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
186
2 - 0
WEI
65%
20%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |