Bayreuth SpVgg vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
WWO
4 - 0
BAY
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 1
BAU
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
BAY
0 - 2
AUG
65%
19%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 0
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
WAL
3 - 1
EIN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
SVS
1 - 1
WAL
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
WAL
4 - 2
PIR
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
FSV
0 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
WAL
4 - 3
OFC
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |