Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
BAY
4 - 2
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 0
BAY
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 1
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
WWO
1 - 0
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
BAY
3 - 1
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
TEN
1 - 2
VFB
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
TSV
0 - 3
VFB
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
VFB
2 - 7
HAN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
RWL
1 - 1
VFB
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
VFB
3 - 1
ERK
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |