Bayreuth SpVgg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1979 |
WWO
3 - 2
BAY
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 1
HOM
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
KFC
2 - 1
BAY
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1979 |
BAY
1 - 1
KFC
47%
20%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
BNE
1 - 5
BAY
32%
28%
39%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1979 |
ULM
1 - 0
ESV
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1979 |
SVS
3 - 0
ULM
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 1
SUL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
SUL
1 - 1
ULM
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 5
ULM
83%
10%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +3 |