Bayreuth SpVgg vs TSV Gerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FCF
0 - 1
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 2
QUF
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ANS
4 - 0
BAY
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FUR
1 - 2
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Gerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
BAY
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SCS
2 - 0
GER
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
GER
1 - 2
NUR
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
WEI
2 - 0
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
GER
2 - 3
GRE
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |