Bayreuth SpVgg vs Seligenporten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAY
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BAY
4 - 0
TSG
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 0
BAY
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -3 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAD
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 2
BAY
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Seligenporten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
TSG
4 - 0
SEL
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SEL
1 - 0
BAY
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SEL
0 - 2
ARB
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 78 | 54 | 0 |