Bayreuth SpVgg vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
FEU
4 - 1
BAY
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ISM
3 - 0
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NUR
2 - 2
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 1
WEI
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
6 - 3
BAY
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
TSA
2 - 0
BAY
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SCS
1 - 2
TSA
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TSA
1 - 1
NUR
23%
24%
54%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TSA
3 - 3
WEI
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
TSA
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |