Bayreuth SpVgg vs SC 04 Schwabach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
3 - 1
WEI
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MEM
0 - 3
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 3
ISM
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NUR
3 - 1
BAY
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
3 - 1
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
SC 04 Schwabach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
SCS
3 - 2
NUR
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
SCS
1 - 2
WUR
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
ING
2 - 1
SCS
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
SCS
0 - 3
FEU
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 0
SCS
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |