Bayreuth SpVgg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 0
BAY
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
BAY
5 - 2
FSV
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
DAR
1 - 3
BAY
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BAY
5 - 0
PRH
91%
6%
3%
|
73 | 24 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
BAY
5 - 1
MTV
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
SAA
5 - 0
ESV
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SVS
3 - 0
SAA
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SAA
2 - 0
WUR
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 1
SAA
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 2
SAA
25%
29%
45%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |