Bayreuth SpVgg vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DJJ
1 - 3
BAY
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
MEM
67%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
BAY
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 0
KLE
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 1
NEU
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NEU
2 - 1
WUR
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 1
HOL
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 3
AUB
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 1
NEU
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |