Bayreuth SpVgg vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
1 - 1
SVS
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
USO
1 - 1
BAY
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 1
AAA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BAY
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 1
BAY
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
MSV
0 - 1
VIK
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
MSV
0 - 2
KSC
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
OSN
2 - 0
MSV
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
MSV
0 - 4
BWB
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
MSV
1 - 2
AAA
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |